Leveraged ETF research

TQQQ Historical Rotation backtest

Research how a four-asset historical model would have held TQQQ in bull regimes, used TECL for oversold rebounds, and rotated to SQQQ or BSV in bear trends. Hypothetical results are not trading instructions or recommendations.

Backtest universe
TQQQ · SQQQ · BSV · TECL
Compared with TQQQ and SPY

Date range

FromToStarting capitalSlippage (bps per side)Regulatory fee (bps sold)

Signal timing: Indicators and execution use the same session’s daily close. The regular strategy uses pre-close prices.

Allocate 5% to hedgingDeduct 5% of starting capital, then 5% of current strategy value every 12 months. Annual sales include trading costs. Allocations leave the strategy and stop compounding; option returns are not simulated.Include estimated taxesApply annual federal and state tax estimates to realized gains. Off by default.

Tax calculations are off. Results show trading performance before income taxes.

Ready to compare

Run the strategy to compare it with buying and holding TQQQ or SPY over the same period.